Wednesday, 22 April 2026

Greens and Labour neck and neck in Brent according to YouGov Poll

 

Image: YouGov

Today's YouGov poll of Londoners carried out between 27th March and 21st April lists Brent as one of the London boroughs where Greens and Labour are close with the margin between the parties five points of less (green and red stripes above). 

The projections give the following shares of the vote. Vote share is of course distinct from the actual share of seats and thus the majority party on the council.

 

LONDON BOROUGH OF BRENT

CONSERVATIVES     19

LABOUR                     25

LIB DEM                     14

REFORM                     15 

GREEN                         25 

INDEPENDENT            2

 

YouGov note:

The model, which uses data from more than 4,500 adults in London in fieldwork from 27 March to 21 April, projects vote shares for each of the parties in all 32 London boroughs. With so many close races, we are not projecting seat wins and losses, as per previous YouGov council election models, but are instead focussing on support for the parties. Owing to the first past the post voting system, this does not guarantee a party will win outright control of a borough, or even the most seats, as happened in Bexley at the 2002 elections and Havering in 2022.


 Image: YouGov

YouGov note:

As with all projections of this nature, our London-wide vote share estimates also come with possible ranges. Labour could be anywhere from as low as 19 to as high as 34. The Conservatives have a ten-point probable range from 13% to 23%, while the Lib Dems could be between 10% and 21%, Reform between 9% and 19%, and the Greens between 15% and 28%.

 

 Full YouGov Poll Report

 

2 comments:

  1. Who did they actually ask?

    No one we know ever gets asked these questions.

    ReplyDelete
  2. The predicted result may prove to be right, but this opinion poll isn't much of a guide. 4,500 voters across London is an average of onlyless than 150 per borough, hardly a significant sample. And then it says that the margin of error is massive, e.g, Labour's percentage being anywhere between 19% and 34%. That makes it fairly meaningless

    ReplyDelete