From Ipso Mori UK Ltd 10 years on from the Brexit vote, a majority of Britons would vote to apply to rejoin the EU
New polling by Ipsos given exclusively to Bloomberg News
reveals that 58% of likely voters in a hypothetical future referendum
would back rejoining the bloc, with almost half (49%) of the public
supporting a new referendum after the next General Election
London, UK
The full findings on the survey of Britons will be discussed by an expert panel hosted at King’s College of London on Monday 15th of June.
Registration details for the event can be found here.
The
panel will discuss a range of topics, including changing public views
on whether it was right to hold the 2016 referendum, the trade-offs at
stake in future UK-EU relations, and whether closer links with the bloc
would be a vote winner or vote loser for the Labour government – all of
which is analysed in additional forthcoming research by Ipsos, the
Policy Institute at King’s College London, and UK in a Changing Europe.
Ahead
of the tenth anniversary of the 2016 referendum on the UK’s membership
of the European Union, new polling provided exclusively to Bloomberg
News by Ipsos reveals a significant shift in public sentiment 10 years
on.
Key findings include:
- Majority support for rejoining:
Among all Britons, 52% think the UK should apply to join the European
Union, while exactly a third (33%) think the UK should stay out. The
remainder say they don’t know or would not vote in a future referendum.
Among likely voters in a future referendum, 58% would vote to rejoin and
37% would vote to stay out. This amounts to a 61% / 39% split once
don’t knows are removed.
Q.
If a new referendum was held on whether the UK should apply to join the
European Union or to stay out of the European Union, how would you
vote?
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All Britons
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Likely voters
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Likely voters (don’t knows excluded)
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The UK should apply to rejoin the EU
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52%
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58%
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61%
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The UK should stay out of the EU
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33%
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37%
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39%
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Don’t know
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9%
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4%
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-
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Would not vote
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4%
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-
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-
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Prefer not to day
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1%
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-
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-
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Further analysis among all Britons:
- Overwhelming backing from Labour voters:
Support for rejoining is particularly concentrated among current Labour
voters, with 84% stating that Britain should apply to join the EU.
- But rejoining remains a divisive issue:
Whereas 68% of those aged 18-34 and 58% of those aged 35-54 back
rejoining, 50% of those aged 55+ want to stay out (37% of that group
want to rejoin). Similarly, whilst 84% of Labour voters, 80% of Lib
Dems and 86% of Greens would vote to rejoin, 56% of Conservative voters
and 7 in 10 Reform voters (71%) would vote to stay out.
- Appetite for a new referendum:
Almost half of Britons support holding a referendum on whether or not
the UK should join the European Union. 48% support a referendum taking
place before the next General Election (compared to 29% who oppose it),
while 49% support a referendum taking place after the next General
Election (compared to 26% who oppose it).
Keiran Pedley, Director of Politics at Ipsos, said:
“As
we approach the ten-year milestone of the Brexit vote, this exclusive
data shows a clear shift in the public mood which will be unpacked at
our event on June 15th.
“A
majority of the British public, indicate that if asked, the UK should
apply to rejoin the European Union. This includes a clear majority of
Labour voters.
“With
almost half of Britons open to another referendum, it is clear that the
debate over our relationship with Europe is far from settled in the
minds of the electorate.
“With
that said, we should be aware that a future referendum might play out
differently in practice. Immigration remains a key issue for the British
public, one which would likely feature in any campaign. And as our
upcoming research will show, when the public are presented with various
trade offs involved concerning the UK-EU relationship, a more complex
picture emerges"
Technical Note: - Ipsos
interviewed a representative probability sample of 1,137 British adults
aged 18+, via the Ipsos UK Knowledge Panel as part of our regular Ipsos
Political Monitor series. Data was collected between the 14th – 20th
May 2026
- Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
- All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error.
- This research was conducted in partnership with King's College London and UK in a Changing Europe.
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